woqp9
0xadc852d4d286b2adf7e10e4506a644b9a5e216a8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $78.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.02 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.02 |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.995 | $19.90 | −$0.06 |
| Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.951 | $19.01 | −$0.95 |
| Hersonissos 2: Henry Bernet vs Stefan Dostanic · Henry Bernet | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$92.22 |
| Santiago: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Andrea Collarini · Andrea Collarini | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$280.80 |
| Kigali 2: Mathys Erhard vs Andrej Martin · Mathys Erhard | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$540.00 |
| Hersonissos 2: Lorenzo Giustino vs Philip Henning · Philip Henning | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$545.20 |
| Kigali 2: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitano · Joel Schwaerzler | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$549.00at 0.500UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Orolbai (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$3.45at 0.827Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?
- +$1.01at 0.916Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.40at 0.980Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$0.27at 0.984Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 14:30 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 09-19 14:30 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 09-19 14:29 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-19 14:29 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-01 13:48 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-01 13:48 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-01 13:48 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-22 15:10 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 08-10 15:29 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $19.82 |
| 08-10 15:29 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.96 |
| 08-10 15:29 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-10 15:29 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-20 14:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 07-20 14:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 07-20 14:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |