PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xadbFa7C80BE6bD5F8047177067C9DACF98C6FFBa-1761652445301

0xadbfa7c80be6bd5f8047177067c9dacf98c6ffba

Realised P&L
$-419.58
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$19.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.959$19.17+$1.17
Hornets vs. Nets · Nets0.0920.000$0.00−$5.85
Pistons vs. Wizards · Wizards0.0900.000$0.00−$18.45
Rockets vs. Lakers · Rockets0.6770.000$0.00−$201.00
Clippers vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies0.3100.000$0.00−$52.67
Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets0.5700.000$0.00−$94.05
Spurs vs. Bucks · Bucks0.0600.000$0.00−$9.60
Lakers vs. Magic · Magic0.4200.000$0.00−$127.26
Cavaliers vs. Magic · Cavaliers0.5990.000$0.00−$95.84
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9180.000$0.00−$4.18
Cavaliers vs. Bucks · Bucks0.2000.000$0.00−$24.00
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers0.4290.000$0.00−$102.96
Wizards vs. Trail Blazers · Wizards0.1000.000$0.00−$103.66
Pistons vs. Hornets · Hornets0.6170.000$0.00−$610.00
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.3120.000$0.00−$93.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 09:06Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.918$4.18
08-25 09:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$10.00
08-25 09:47Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 30, 2026?SELL0.86$17.20
07-29 06:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$12.00
07-29 06:24Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$12.99
06-30 09:38Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$12.91
06-24 09:34Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?SELL0.927$19.47
06-24 09:32Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.9277794$92.78
05-27 05:29Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.94$94.00
05-23 08:47Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?BUY0.945$16.90
04-23 07:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.99$114.84
04-18 09:25Rockets vs. LakersBUY0.67$197.02
04-10 09:00Pistons vs. HornetsBUY0.61$595.73
04-09 10:13Pacers vs. NetsBUY0.62$541.64
04-08 10:21Mavericks vs. SunsBUY0.82$438.02