PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dgfhfgd2

0xadbf43093a2a42860049d629e08b09b0b425d473

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$20.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$23.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration96.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0980.015$23.05$122.67
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia Mountaineers · West Virginia Mountaineers0.3300.000$0.00$990.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24? · No0.2600.000$0.00$650.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-25 03:35Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.6737142857$141.48
04-24 06:24Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.797$58.59
04-17 06:52Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.785$290.45
03-17 11:55Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.736$323.84
03-15 08:37Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.8579285714$12.01
03-15 06:53Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.86$657.04
03-15 06:38Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.916$1.7k
03-13 01:22Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.913$1.7k
03-09 07:01Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.783$289.71
03-05 02:57Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.5$111.00
02-08 07:05Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia MountaineersBUY0.33$990.00
01-23 08:03Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?BUY0.26$520.00
01-23 08:02Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?BUY0.26$130.00
01-21 09:36Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.18$9.47
01-21 09:35Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.189999988$10.00