dgfhfgd2
0xadbf43093a2a42860049d629e08b09b0b425d473
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $20.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $23.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.098 | 0.015 | $23.05 | −$122.67 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia Mountaineers · West Virginia Mountaineers | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$990.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$650.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$720.00at 0.840Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 24?
- +$12.45at 0.674Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$5.67at 0.913Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.44at 0.480Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.22at 0.860Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-25 03:35 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6737142857 | $141.48 |
| 04-24 06:24 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.797 | $58.59 |
| 04-17 06:52 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.785 | $290.45 |
| 03-17 11:55 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.736 | $323.84 |
| 03-15 08:37 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.8579285714 | $12.01 |
| 03-15 06:53 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $657.04 |
| 03-15 06:38 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.916 | $1.7k |
| 03-13 01:22 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.913 | $1.7k |
| 03-09 07:01 | Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.783 | $289.71 |
| 03-05 02:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.5 | $111.00 |
| 02-08 07:05 | Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia Mountaineers | BUY | 0.33 | $990.00 |
| 01-23 08:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24? | BUY | 0.26 | $520.00 |
| 01-23 08:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24? | BUY | 0.26 | $130.00 |
| 01-21 09:36 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $9.47 |
| 01-21 09:35 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |