77771
0xadbd38b5b1fa5ec86ab782a580acd5bb67d793f9
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $324.0k
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $190.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka | 0.470 | 0.500 | $124.00 | +$7.44 |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? · Yes | 0.730 | 1.000 | $26.00 | +$7.02 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.742 | 0.151 | $20.76 | −$80.85 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.045 | $18.77 | −$47.95 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.460 | 0.280 | $0.56 | −$0.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$698.04at 0.640Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?
- +$501.60at 0.200Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
- +$483.83at 0.230Will Trump post "Filibuster" on Truth Social this week?
- +$466.20at 0.200Will "Safety" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$442.80at 0.430Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:19 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $162.80 |
| 04-27 08:15 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.1k |
| 04-27 08:13 | Anduril IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $18.37 |
| 04-23 14:27 | KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi | BUY | 0.484 | $276.85 |
| 04-21 03:54 | Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.61 | $374.54 |
| 04-21 03:53 | Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $118.32 |
| 04-21 03:38 | Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.91 | $484.12 |
| 04-21 03:37 | Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.9 | $45.90 |
| 04-21 03:01 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.84 |
| 04-21 02:55 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $5.26 |
| 04-13 13:53 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $502.92 |
| 04-13 13:00 | Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | BUY | 0.62 | $380.68 |
| 04-13 12:26 | Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $518.87 |
| 04-13 10:02 | Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.054 | $26.30 |
| 04-13 05:10 | Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.90 |