PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

77771

0xadbd38b5b1fa5ec86ab782a580acd5bb67d793f9

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$324.0k
Markets traded
281
Open portfolio
$190.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded281
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka0.4700.500$124.00+$7.44
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? · Yes0.7301.000$26.00+$7.02
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7420.151$20.76$80.85
Anduril IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.045$18.77$47.95
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4600.280$0.56$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 08:19Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$162.80
04-27 08:15Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$1.1k
04-27 08:13Anduril IPO before 2027?SELL0.11$18.37
04-23 14:27KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC SochiBUY0.484$276.85
04-21 03:54Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL0.61$374.54
04-21 03:53Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?SELL0.87$118.32
04-21 03:38Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?SELL0.91$484.12
04-21 03:37Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?SELL0.9$45.90
04-21 03:01Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?SELL0.004$0.84
04-21 02:55Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?SELL0.004$5.26
04-13 13:53Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?BUY0.33$502.92
04-13 13:00Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY0.62$380.68
04-13 12:26Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.89$518.87
04-13 10:02Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?SELL0.054$26.30
04-13 05:10Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?SELL0.07$4.90