0xadb58f94821f006fd207410f2fdfe33f27b6e421
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $172.7k
- Markets traded
- 4,954
- Open portfolio
- $15.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded4,954
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$774.03at 0.024Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$338.94at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 22?
- +$123.97at 0.200No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$81.63at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 25?
- +$71.35at 0.143Will Scribe Therapeutics' market cap be at least $145M at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 07:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.509999948 | $2.65 |
| 08-18 07:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.65 |
| 08-18 07:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999847 | $4.55 |
| 08-13 07:49 | Will A.J. Ewing win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-13 07:49 | Will Esmerlyn Valdez win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-13 07:49 | Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 08-13 07:49 | Will Sam Antonacci win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-13 07:49 | Will George Lombard Jr. win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-13 07:49 | Will Nico Echavarria win the 2026 TOUR Championship? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.05 |
| 08-13 07:49 | Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 08-13 07:49 | Will Palestino win Chile Primera? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 08-13 07:48 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 08-13 07:48 | Will Sean Burke win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-13 07:48 | Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 08-13 07:48 | Will Drew Rasmussen win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.0062475116 | $0.09 |