Pavolko34
0xadb503440b131e3e8c03438e5997803696b2809f
- Realised P&L
- $-767.23
- Volume
- $22.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,126
- Open portfolio
- $30.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,126
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XRP Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ET · Up | 0.700 | 1.000 | $30.00 | +$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.60at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11AM ET
- +$21.49at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6AM ET
- +$21.18at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5AM ET
- +$21.18at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7AM ET
- +$21.05at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 06:17 | XRP Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 09-18 02:08 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-17 22:00 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 09-17 17:24 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 09-17 15:11 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-17 11:16 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 09-17 08:16 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 09-17 03:06 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 09-17 02:08 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 09-17 01:10 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 09-16 22:03 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 09-16 15:23 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.7066666667 | $21.20 |
| 09-16 10:06 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 09-16 09:26 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 09-15 18:14 | XRP Up or Down - September 15, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |