ilros
0xadb260cecaa9636451da3ced954bf6d4ba4a30e1
- Realised P&L
- $-167.84
- Volume
- $893.57
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $22.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.025 | $14.66 | −$35.34 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.054 | $7.51 | −$2.49 |
| Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-10.12at 0.699Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$-100.97at 0.764Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:32 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0719152838 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 21:27 | Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 21:18 | Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 21:18 | Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.7570467599 | $100.00 |
| 05-12 21:17 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.6899999393 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 21:07 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.0869999985 | $50.00 |