PolyBot

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Traders

TraderVsDriver

0xadb0bcb22b76e6aef7b69eb72030c7a8bbe61c8c

Realised P&L
$7.1k
Volume
$547.4k
Markets traded
1,842
Open portfolio
$16.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,842
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? · Yes0.0020.005$7.50+$4.50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? · Yes0.0200.051$5.10+$3.10
Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.0010.001$2.06−$2.05
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? · Yes0.0020.002$1.50−$0.87
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.036$0.22+$0.20
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another Middle East/North Africa country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.030$0.18+$0.16
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the UAE by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.025$0.15+$0.14
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another country by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.013$0.08+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 25? · Yes0.0300.001$0.05−$2.95
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 25? · Yes0.0030.001$0.00−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 6? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 10? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00−$37.57
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 3? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 5? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 11? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$5.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 09:38Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25?BUY0.392$9.80
09-25 09:37Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25?BUY0.44$5.72
09-25 09:36Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25?BUY0.4$10.70
09-25 09:29Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25?BUY0.5389209139$15.33
09-25 09:28Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25?BUY0.5050122609$20.59
09-24 14:59Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?BUY0.001$1.12
09-24 13:58Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?BUY0.003$1.13
09-24 13:49Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?BUY0.001$2.00
09-24 12:58Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?BUY0.001$0.67
09-24 11:10Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24?SELL0.24$2.09
09-24 10:55Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24?BUY0.2178437576$8.95
09-24 09:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.4633333333$20.85
09-24 09:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.04$0.96
09-24 08:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.3628571429$12.70
09-24 08:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 24?BUY0.2712669761$31.56