TraderVsDriver
0xadb0bcb22b76e6aef7b69eb72030c7a8bbe61c8c
- Realised P&L
- $7.1k
- Volume
- $547.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,842
- Open portfolio
- $16.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,842
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.010Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 22?
- +$432.20at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on May 28?
- +$351.81at 0.051Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13?
- +$296.62at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 16?
- +$186.33at 0.032Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 09:38 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.392 | $9.80 |
| 09-25 09:37 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.44 | $5.72 |
| 09-25 09:36 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.70 |
| 09-25 09:29 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5389209139 | $15.33 |
| 09-25 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.5050122609 | $20.59 |
| 09-24 14:59 | Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.12 |
| 09-24 13:58 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.13 |
| 09-24 13:49 | Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 12:58 | Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.67 |
| 09-24 11:10 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.09 |
| 09-24 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2178437576 | $8.95 |
| 09-24 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4633333333 | $20.85 |
| 09-24 09:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.96 |
| 09-24 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3628571429 | $12.70 |
| 09-24 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2712669761 | $31.56 |