PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

klgd10

0xadac4ed60244b2ef77241b361806683d55131e69

Realised P&L
$-26.29
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$0.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3540.125$0.71$1.29
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Deportivo Alaves vs. CD Castellon: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$2.00
LoL: FlyQuest vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner · Disguised0.2800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in July? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$1.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on July 24? · No0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in July? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$0.43
Shanghai Haigang FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5 · Over0.2800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Miami FC vs. Detroit City FC end in a draw? · No0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5) · CD Guadalajara0.3800.000$0.00$2.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 24? · Down0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.3850.000$0.00$2.00
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner · LNG Esports0.2500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of July 27 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$0.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 00:18New York City FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5SELL0.3$0.79
09-10 00:17New York City FC vs. New England Revolution: O/U 3.5BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-09 22:38Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.19$0.33
08-27 11:07Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.33999983$1.00
08-27 10:37Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-27 09:02Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4$0.75
08-26 13:43Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-26 13:42Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.579999826$1.00
08-25 16:33Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?SELL0.12$0.13
08-25 16:28Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?SELL0.12$0.01
08-25 16:12Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?SELL0.1$0.16
08-14 19:07Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5SELL0.32$0.74
08-14 19:02Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5SELL0.35$0.04
08-14 18:57Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Castellón: O/U 3.5BUY0.4099998237$1.00
08-14 09:29Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.3499998775$1.00