Sophioo
0xada6b0891ff50721e1f1ab8c920a9d5797dcf073
- Realised P&L
- $-28.91
- Volume
- $17.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $838.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.820 | 0.945 | $458.31 | +$60.62 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.968 | $258.46 | +$18.16 |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.205 | $121.56 | +$38.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.63at 0.870Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?
- +$22.68at 0.810Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?
- +$8.59at 0.931Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.850U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
- +$-1.19at 0.954Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 01:44 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $41.72 |
| 06-25 01:59 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $306.18 |
| 06-05 03:40 | U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $325.55 |
| 05-26 03:08 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.9249239627 | $306.17 |
| 05-17 07:47 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $375.55 |
| 05-12 03:47 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $127.91 |
| 05-12 03:47 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $269.78 |
| 05-09 11:54 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.889 | $26.67 |
| 05-09 11:54 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.8889999995 | $75.56 |
| 04-28 07:50 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.949 | $452.66 |
| 04-25 01:45 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.951 | $378.49 |
| 04-23 07:54 | Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.931 | $444.08 |
| 04-18 08:28 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.954 | $379.69 |
| 04-16 12:40 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.954 | $629.64 |
| 04-09 07:35 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.971 | $640.86 |