PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sophioo

0xada6b0891ff50721e1f1ab8c920a9d5797dcf073

Realised P&L
$-28.91
Volume
$17.6k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$838.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8200.945$458.31+$60.62
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.968$258.46+$18.16
Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31? · Yes0.1400.205$121.56+$38.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 01:44Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?BUY0.14$41.72
06-25 01:59Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?BUY0.81$306.18
06-05 03:40U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? BUY0.85$325.55
05-26 03:08Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?BUY0.9249239627$306.17
05-17 07:47Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?BUY0.978$375.55
05-12 03:47Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.82$127.91
05-12 03:47Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.82$269.78
05-09 11:54Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.889$26.67
05-09 11:54Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.8889999995$75.56
04-28 07:50Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.949$452.66
04-25 01:45Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.951$378.49
04-23 07:54Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.931$444.08
04-18 08:28Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.954$379.69
04-16 12:40Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.954$629.64
04-09 07:35Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.971$640.86