0xauracle
0xad9c0b313d608d81441b09d83f55fdeda2265078
- Realised P&L
- $-90.75
- Volume
- $369.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $40.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.004 | $40.68 | −$98.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.77at 0.010Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$0.00at 0.007Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-13.41at 0.008Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-15 00:00 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $45.70 |
| 02-14 23:59 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $23.44 |
| 02-14 23:59 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $23.44 |
| 02-14 23:59 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $23.44 |
| 02-14 23:59 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $23.44 |
| 02-14 23:58 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $116.03 |
| 02-14 23:58 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.011 | $9.86 |
| 02-07 23:25 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $100.00 |
| 02-07 23:24 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $113.49 |
| 02-07 23:24 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $129.70 |
| 02-07 23:07 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $129.61 |
| 01-31 22:49 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $113.07 |
| 01-31 22:38 | Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $93.85 |
| 11-26 20:35 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $97.40 |
| 11-26 20:19 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $119.00 |