0xad99BFFCe03Cc56AC1b697aC15a173700E54dBaB-1770744877347
0xad99bffce03cc56ac1b697ac15a173700e54dbab
- Realised P&L
- $50.5k
- Volume
- $9.04M
- Markets traded
- 6,244
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,244
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.3kat 0.500Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
- +$24.6kat 0.500Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?
- +$24.3kat 0.500Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?
- +$22.1kat 0.500Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Spain?
- +$21.6kat 0.500Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 10:05 | Will Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.1 | $72.45 |
| 07-27 09:52 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.87565 | $875.65 |
| 07-27 09:52 | Will Haley Stevens win Kent County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.09 | $24.79 |
| 07-26 04:57 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 07-26 04:57 | Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.19 | $190.00 |
| 07-24 03:22 | Will Ilan Van Wilder finish 2nd in the 2026 Tour De France? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 07-24 03:22 | Will Matthew Riccitello finish 2nd in the 2026 Tour De France? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 07-24 03:22 | Will Brandon McNulty finish 2nd in the 2026 Tour De France? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 07-21 20:17 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 98m? | SELL | 0.04 | $3.44 |
| 07-21 20:17 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.12 |
| 07-21 20:16 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m? | SELL | 0.1039534884 | $8.94 |
| 07-21 20:16 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 86m? | SELL | 0.2367837209 | $20.36 |
| 07-21 20:16 | Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 74m? | SELL | 0.27 | $23.22 |
| 07-19 20:53 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 07-19 20:53 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | SELL | 0.05 | $50.00 |