PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KellyPhillips9072

0xad90b42fca6a768c190cbfbad3e9b8d035eb9090

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$597.8k
Markets traded
708
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded708
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Nothing Ever Happens: March · Nothing0.6101.000$1.2k+$473.85
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.885$724.82+$208.84
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers · Prairie View A&M Panthers0.4800.500$609.00+$24.36
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? · SpaceX0.8701.000$572.00+$74.36
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8000.927$310.71+$42.71
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.070$39.97$97.07
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.8600.953$23.81+$2.31
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1600.090$14.40$11.20
Eric Adams charged by December 31? · Yes0.2000.245$11.76+$2.16
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No0.6300.340$8.16$6.96
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.445$4.89$1.81
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2700.935$1.87+$1.33
Deel IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1600.045$1.71$4.37
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.4101.000$1.00+$0.59
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? · No0.7701.000$1.00+$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 08:38Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.66$6.60
04-21 08:14Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.75$447.75
04-21 03:08Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?SELL0.004$0.92
04-21 03:07Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?SELL0.004$2.05
04-21 03:05Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?SELL0.004$0.91
04-21 03:02Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$535.16
04-13 15:38Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42$23.10
04-11 15:50Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?BUY0.39$377.52
04-11 15:01Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M PanthersBUY0.48$584.64
04-11 14:56Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.63$515.97
04-11 14:16Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.65$553.80
04-11 13:35Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)BUY0.89$962.09
04-11 08:08Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.88$511.28
04-11 08:07Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.88$309.76
04-11 07:14Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?SELL0.64$189.44