KellyPhillips9072
0xad90b42fca6a768c190cbfbad3e9b8d035eb9090
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $597.8k
- Markets traded
- 708
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded708
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$515.44at 0.320Will "Drink" or "Drunk" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
- +$513.89at 0.230Will Trump post "Filibuster" on Truth Social this week?
- +$475.50at 0.250Will Trump post "Mutilization" on Truth Social this week?
- +$344.69at 0.332Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?
- +$321.55at 0.220Will John Candy: I Like Me win Best Producer of a TV Movie at the 37th PGA Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 08:38 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 04-21 08:14 | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.75 | $447.75 |
| 04-21 03:08 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.92 |
| 04-21 03:07 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.05 |
| 04-21 03:05 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.91 |
| 04-21 03:02 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $535.16 |
| 04-13 15:38 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $23.10 |
| 04-11 15:50 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $377.52 |
| 04-11 15:01 | Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers | BUY | 0.48 | $584.64 |
| 04-11 14:56 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $515.97 |
| 04-11 14:16 | Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $553.80 |
| 04-11 13:35 | Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5) | BUY | 0.89 | $962.09 |
| 04-11 08:08 | Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.88 | $511.28 |
| 04-11 08:07 | Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.88 | $309.76 |
| 04-11 07:14 | Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | SELL | 0.64 | $189.44 |