0xad8d2d403f831159d755d907eace3580a60454cc
0xad8d2d403f831159d755d907eace3580a60454cc
- Realised P&L
- $-136.09
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $59.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Esteghlal FC Tehran win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.350 | 1.000 | $59.71 | +$38.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.42at 0.620Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?
- +$17.95at 0.216Will Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah end in a draw?
- +$14.12at 0.244Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$8.06at 0.703Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$-1.10at 0.012Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 18:30 | Will Esteghlal FC Tehran win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.3499999983 | $20.90 |
| 10-12 11:44 | Will Pakhtakor vs. Al Qadsiah end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.58 |
| 06-17 21:30 | Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.40 |
| 06-16 21:41 | Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1399999956 | $25.00 |
| 06-16 13:25 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6699999904 | $18.20 |
| 06-15 19:00 | Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.229999961 | $4.30 |
| 06-14 05:01 | Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299999976 | $77.00 |
| 06-14 05:00 | Spread: Germany (-3.5) | SELL | 0.48 | $87.00 |
| 06-13 23:31 | Spread: Germany (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $87.00 |
| 06-10 19:05 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.69 | $73.93 |
| 06-10 18:55 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6999999972 | $25.00 |
| 06-10 18:54 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.7 | $50.00 |
| 02-26 10:37 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.265880314 | $91.00 |
| 02-26 10:35 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28? | BUY | 0.6199999986 | $110.00 |
| 02-19 18:01 | Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.011681416 | $1.10 |