PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Do-Not-Redeem

0xad89f899f1524533adfd1e6a07da692fcd92f6e1

Realised P&L
$341.7k
Volume
$13.93M
Markets traded
2,976
Open portfolio
$121.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,976
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:27Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.73$1.6k
11-02 03:03Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.72$5.7k
10-30 19:57Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.72$7.1k
10-30 18:57Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?SELL0.73$414.09
10-30 00:42Will Athletico Paranaense be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A?BUY0.99$16.64
10-28 18:50Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.54$1.1k
10-28 17:22Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.56$3.8k
10-28 17:12Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.42$797.34
10-28 00:19Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.548982356$4.0k
10-27 03:31Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.670741642$7.1k
10-27 01:32Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.68$7.2k
10-26 14:36Will Chaco For Ever be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)?BUY0.99$103.95
10-26 14:36Will Los Andes be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)?BUY0.99$103.95
10-26 14:35Will Mitre (Santiago del Estero) be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)?BUY0.99$103.95
10-26 14:35Will Central Norte be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)?BUY0.99$54.45