Do-Not-Redeem
0xad89f899f1524533adfd1e6a07da692fcd92f6e1
- Realised P&L
- $341.7k
- Volume
- $13.93M
- Markets traded
- 2,976
- Open portfolio
- $121.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,976
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.0kat 0.155Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)
- +$48.5kat 0.515Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$47.2kat 0.349Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
- +$10.3kat 0.660Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5
- +$8.3kat 0.321Laver Cup: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:27 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $1.6k |
| 11-02 03:03 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.7k |
| 10-30 19:57 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $7.1k |
| 10-30 18:57 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $414.09 |
| 10-30 00:42 | Will Athletico Paranaense be runner-up in the 2026 Brazil Série A? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.64 |
| 10-28 18:50 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.1k |
| 10-28 17:22 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.56 | $3.8k |
| 10-28 17:12 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.42 | $797.34 |
| 10-28 00:19 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.548982356 | $4.0k |
| 10-27 03:31 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.670741642 | $7.1k |
| 10-27 01:32 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $7.2k |
| 10-26 14:36 | Will Chaco For Ever be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)? | BUY | 0.99 | $103.95 |
| 10-26 14:36 | Will Los Andes be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)? | BUY | 0.99 | $103.95 |
| 10-26 14:35 | Will Mitre (Santiago del Estero) be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)? | BUY | 0.99 | $103.95 |
| 10-26 14:35 | Will Central Norte be promoted to Liga Profesional (Argentina)? | BUY | 0.99 | $54.45 |