Ellenar
0xad888e80821c3ac5f36246090760031833e78bca
- Realised P&L
- $-2.47
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $7.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.995 | 0.992 | $7.55 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.25at 0.820Kings vs. Celtics
- +$0.02at 0.998Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.999Will XRP dip to $0.90 April 13-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9949999285 | $7.58 |
| 07-20 02:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.9989998345 | $6.00 |
| 06-30 06:55 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.41 |
| 06-10 03:46 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 03:22 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $8.58 |
| 05-26 03:22 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.60 |
| 04-23 06:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.46 |
| 04-14 07:37 | Will XRP dip to $0.90 April 13-19? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.21 |
| 03-14 05:56 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $10.02 |
| 02-28 02:00 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $10.02 |
| 02-08 03:56 | Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $324.73 |
| 02-08 03:27 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $11.41 |
| 02-08 01:52 | Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $325.06 |
| 02-05 09:49 | Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $334.08 |
| 02-05 07:46 | Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $334.42 |