PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ellenar

0xad888e80821c3ac5f36246090760031833e78bca

Realised P&L
$-2.47
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$7.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? · No0.9950.992$7.55−$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 09:18Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.9949999285$7.58
07-20 02:03Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 13-19?BUY0.9989998345$6.00
06-30 06:55Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?BUY0.999$7.41
06-10 03:46Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?BUY0.998$5.00
06-10 03:22Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.989$8.58
05-26 03:22Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.99$8.60
04-23 06:58Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 20-26?BUY0.998$9.46
04-14 07:37Will XRP dip to $0.90 April 13-19?BUY0.999$6.21
03-14 05:56Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$10.02
02-28 02:00Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$10.02
02-08 03:56Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.998$324.73
02-08 03:27Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.998$11.41
02-08 01:52Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY0.999$325.06
02-05 09:49Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.998$334.08
02-05 07:46Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.999$334.42