0xad8828df46f40d377468a325c9f8D5F914363c1e-1761441548527
0xad8828df46f40d377468a325c9f8d5f914363c1e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $700.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,329
- Open portfolio
- $866.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,329
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Bills | 0.470 | 1.000 | $399.80 | +$211.80 |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos · Broncos | 0.490 | 0.605 | $242.00 | +$46.00 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) · Bears | 0.540 | 0.535 | $214.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) · Bengals | 0.490 | 0.015 | $6.00 | −$190.00 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) · Cowboys | 0.490 | 0.010 | $4.00 | −$192.00 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$209.70 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.60 |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) · Buccaneers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Seahawks | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.00 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.20 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners · Seattle Mariners | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$208.00 |
| Spread: Vikings (-1.5) · Buccaneers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.00 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.30 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.038Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.3kat 0.136Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?
- +$1.1kat 0.541Falcons vs. Cardinals
- +$949.51at 0.534Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?
- +$797.13at 0.727Steelers vs. Lions
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:13 | Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $216.00 |
| 11-01 15:12 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $188.00 |
| 11-01 15:12 | Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $196.00 |
| 11-01 15:12 | Spread: Bengals (-13.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $196.00 |
| 11-01 15:11 | Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $208.00 |
| 11-01 15:11 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.49 | $147.00 |
| 11-01 15:11 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 10-27 00:13 | Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $245.00 |
| 10-26 02:16 | Chiefs vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 00:45 | Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 10-25 04:01 | Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 10-25 04:00 | Spread: Broncos (-4.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 10-25 03:56 | Spread: Rams (-3.5) | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 10-25 03:54 | Spread: Texans (-10.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $104.00 |
| 10-25 03:53 | Spread: Lions (-3.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $102.00 |