jinglianyao
0xad84704b01dbe30f74cea409d572f861a5e8ed06
- Realised P&L
- $-0.54
- Volume
- $29.00
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $1.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State · Western Kentucky | 0.450 | 0.455 | $1.95 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.12at 0.677Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.77at 0.670Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
- +$0.68at 0.597Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$0.63at 0.756Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
- +$0.62at 0.786Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 18:13 | Western Kentucky vs. New Mexico State | BUY | 0.4499999883 | $1.93 |
| 07-05 09:12 | Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5009999832 | $1.49 |
| 07-02 07:12 | Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7599999236 | $1.99 |
| 06-26 04:08 | Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.569999766 | $2.29 |
| 06-06 04:03 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6699999191 | $2.32 |
| 05-16 11:43 | Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999437 | $1.15 |
| 05-09 10:18 | Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.94 |
| 05-06 17:58 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 04-03 14:30 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.6699999184 | $1.56 |
| 03-23 16:14 | Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.7859999497 | $2.28 |