ping1.
0xad820fb186afd6c399efd96244991edd7b4df9b0
- Realised P&L
- $-26.39
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $5.66
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.095 | $2.98 | +$1.72 |
| Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by September 30? · No | 0.150 | 0.032 | $2.68 | −$10.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.26at 0.473Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$0.50at 0.500Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.35at 0.379Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
- +$-7.37at 0.070Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26?
- +$-7.95at 0.298Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 10:03 | Italy Senate approves Nuclear Power Bill by September 30? | BUY | 0.15 | $12.75 |
| 08-02 12:19 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 05-16 23:05 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 20:31 | Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $7.84 |
| 03-31 20:42 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31? | SELL | 0.0101924802 | $0.89 |
| 03-31 18:35 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31? | BUY | 0.1199999906 | $10.15 |
| 03-26 13:26 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.0699999914 | $7.37 |
| 03-23 18:43 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.11 |
| 03-22 13:13 | Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | BUY | 0.4735018005 | $21.86 |