WANGWANGWANGWANGWANG
0xad78c75fa1b0637ca61a11983dc93f78c3d05c1f
- Realised P&L
- $6.09
- Volume
- $397.14
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 26? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$13.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$12.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.50at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 21?
- +$-2.83at 0.114Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.83 |