ramseypatricia
0xad6ecc8c464bf07427e056a5b2389552b5600c03
- Realised P&L
- $-7.87
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $98.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.905 | $21.55 | +$2.74 |
| Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No | 0.660 | 0.865 | $19.50 | +$4.62 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%? · No | 0.730 | 0.725 | $16.17 | −$0.11 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.615 | $15.41 | −$0.13 |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.505 | $15.18 | −$2.55 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.635 | $10.97 | +$0.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.72at 0.329Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$18.71at 0.630Will "Wicked" win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2025 SAG Awards?
- +$14.43at 0.660Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$5.03at 0.999Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025?
- +$1.00at 0.840Will Harry Gray win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:27 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.81 |
| 01-30 17:15 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.50 |
| 01-30 16:18 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.51 |
| 01-30 14:18 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.18 |
| 01-30 13:18 | Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.91 |
| 12-30 11:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9979997223 | $3.50 |
| 12-30 11:17 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.91 |
| 12-30 10:53 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.72 |
| 12-30 09:35 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9979999863 | $40.53 |
| 12-29 20:22 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999347 | $14.73 |
| 12-29 19:36 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999823 | $34.28 |
| 10-30 20:15 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $36.45 |
| 10-30 17:37 | Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.56 |
| 09-29 19:03 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.05 |
| 09-29 18:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? | BUY | 0.998999993 | $13.89 |