PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ramseypatricia

0xad6ecc8c464bf07427e056a5b2389552b5600c03

Realised P&L
$-7.87
Volume
$11.2k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$98.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.7900.905$21.55+$2.74
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.6600.865$19.50+$4.62
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%? · No0.7300.725$16.17−$0.11
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.615$15.41−$0.13
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.5900.505$15.18−$2.55
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.635$10.97+$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:27Will Solana dip to $90 in January?BUY0.999$8.81
01-30 17:15Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.999$3.50
01-30 16:18Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$9.51
01-30 14:18Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.998$32.18
01-30 13:18Will Ethena hit $0.33 in January?BUY0.999$64.91
12-30 11:43Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9979997223$3.50
12-30 11:17Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?BUY0.999$5.91
12-30 10:53Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?BUY0.999$15.72
12-30 09:35Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.9979999863$40.53
12-29 20:22Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?BUY0.9979999347$14.73
12-29 19:36Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?BUY0.9979999823$34.28
10-30 20:15Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.9889999998$36.45
10-30 17:37Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$25.56
09-29 19:03Will XRP reach $4.50 in September?BUY0.999$18.05
09-29 18:02Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September?BUY0.998999993$13.89