gygl
0xad6e3fcb7f420614763a1c3d38bf7bd2fecc4132
- Realised P&L
- $590.70
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $227.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar53.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.745 | $227.44 | +$117.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$590.70at 0.144Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
- +$9.00at 0.910Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 12:51 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $54.10 |
| 10-24 12:50 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $25.30 |
| 09-04 16:31 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1389793768 | $95.88 |