bootygoon
0xad696a7aafcf58eb2fb0bd63ce065a94003135d0
- Realised P&L
- $-13.39
- Volume
- $46.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $35.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.115 | $35.30 | −$10.74 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.50 |
| California redistricting referendum passes? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 40% or more? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.50at 0.290Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%?
- +$9.54at 0.820Will Sarah Snook win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025?
- +$9.06at 0.831Fed rate cut in 2025?
- +$0.97at 0.979Will a Republican win Utah Presidential Election?
- +$0.59at 0.968Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-04 17:39 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $13.50 |
| 02-04 17:31 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $16.20 |
| 02-04 17:27 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $16.35 |
| 09-29 06:36 | California redistricting referendum passes? | BUY | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 09-29 06:36 | Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 0-10%? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 09-29 06:35 | Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 10-20%? | BUY | 0.31 | $15.50 |
| 09-29 06:35 | Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 40% or more? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-29 06:35 | Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 30-40%? | BUY | 0.068 | $3.40 |
| 09-29 06:35 | Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 07-21 13:22 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.56 |
| 07-21 13:22 | Fed rate cut in 2025? | BUY | 0.8306523364 | $44.44 |
| 05-28 06:47 | Will Sarah Snook win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025? | BUY | 0.82 | $43.46 |
| 05-28 06:47 | Will Sadie Sink win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025? | BUY | 0.054 | $2.86 |
| 05-28 06:46 | Will Mia Farrow win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025? | BUY | 0.0366037736 | $1.94 |
| 05-28 06:46 | Will Laura Donnelly win the Tony for Best Leading Actress in a Play 2025? | BUY | 0.0396037736 | $2.10 |