PolyBot

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Traders

romfol

0xad626197df90aba9d58399a0479e0b4fed7332ff

Realised P&L
$-224.44
Volume
$102.7k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$113.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1480.125$113.65$20.59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$10.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00$7.52
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.4310.000$0.00$13.07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$106.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 16:57Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.1389047313$43.16
09-06 16:57Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.11$36.30
09-06 16:24Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?SELL0.0499530964$28.39
09-06 16:23Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.14$43.50
09-06 16:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.12$39.60
09-04 12:50Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?BUY0.05$10.00
09-04 07:47Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?BUY0.05$10.27
09-04 07:44Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?BUY0.0493811881$3.99
09-04 07:42Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.1299999967$30.00
09-04 07:42Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$40.00
09-04 07:39Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?BUY0.0486618005$4.00
08-31 11:02Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?SELL0.1$4.00
08-25 13:37Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.1399999966$34.11
08-25 13:22Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.1399999868$7.82
08-25 13:21Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.038$8.14