PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAd6059E1C0B7Be5df53D0D4eFEF3B7B512C49169-1779652526173

0xad6059e1c0b7be5df53d0d4efef3b7b512c49169

Realised P&L
$58.76
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$4.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.0220.019$4.43$0.57
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0370.004$0.09$0.91
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$5.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$5.00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$2.00
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$1.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026? · No0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Will the match not air? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0090.000$0.00$5.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$5.00
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No0.0020.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 20:04Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?BUY0.0257680617$1.00
07-16 20:03Will the match not air?BUY0.01$1.00
07-16 20:00Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.0370000014$1.00
07-16 20:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.01$1.00
07-16 19:58Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4199999832$5.00
06-16 15:32Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?BUY0.005$1.00
06-16 15:29US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
06-16 15:28US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.008$1.00
06-16 15:27US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.008$5.00
06-09 22:22Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY0.01$1.00
06-09 15:12Iran closes its airspace by June 8?BUY0.001$1.00
06-09 15:09Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 June 8-14?BUY0.0057142857$2.00
06-09 15:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10?BUY0.017$5.00
06-07 21:49100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?BUY0.0187748709$1.00
06-07 21:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$5.00