0x4D19f2fDBA34d58Fa37Fa08d4b86F12fA3939091-1778882928237
0xad5ca16b0784b6be837f31955f5da0bd7af262b5
- Realised P&L
- $109.70
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $1.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.51at 0.465Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 7?
- +$52.63at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 21?
- +$51.78at 0.308Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?
- +$35.48at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 19?
- +$22.92at 0.273Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.36 | $5.13 |
| 10-10 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.362925408 | $5.13 |
| 10-10 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 10-10 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 10-10 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 10-10 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 10-10 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 10-09 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.42 |
| 10-09 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.5399999771 | $5.18 |
| 10-09 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.5399999771 | $5.18 |
| 10-09 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.5399999771 | $5.18 |
| 10-09 13:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.5499999676 | $5.09 |
| 10-08 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.2080585501 | $2.21 |
| 10-08 13:31 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.2079999842 | $2.32 |