Noted-Dolman
0xad57491f13cba9400094ed03ac0c2754fdf4ec9d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.90
- Volume
- $975.68
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $12.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $7.86 | −$2.14 |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.090 | $3.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $1.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.90at 0.028US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 05:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.0279999999 | $2.89 |
| 10-05 05:05 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | BUY | 0.0029072162 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 04:57 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 04:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |