Odsaya
0xad535b9af4ce1669c0e37c3225aa0ef98e2e14d2
- Realised P&L
- $8.03
- Volume
- $5.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $26.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.057 | $7.63 | −$1.37 |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.725 | $5.08 | +$2.83 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.019 | $3.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.125 | $3.29 | −$1.71 |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.040 | $3.00 | +$0.38 |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal | 0.490 | 0.275 | $2.81 | −$2.19 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.015 | $1.29 | −$13.78 |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.95at 0.192Ethereum Up or Down on November 5?
- +$18.80at 0.020Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?
- +$11.20at 0.200Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?
- +$6.23at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down on November 17?
- +$5.94at 0.460Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 16:00 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026? | SELL | 0.099 | $1.19 |
| 10-16 18:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 17? | SELL | 0.082 | $1.64 |
| 10-14 12:13 | Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.19 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 18:21 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 10-12 18:18 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 23:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.6299999562 | $1.87 |
| 12-10 17:35 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.024 | $1.20 |
| 12-10 16:47 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.20 |
| 12-08 17:27 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 12-04 08:29 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.30 |
| 12-03 11:42 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.94 |
| 12-01 19:47 | Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 12-01 04:56 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.02668 | $0.67 |
| 12-01 04:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.75 |
| 11-30 04:40 | Will Solana dip to $90 before 2026? | BUY | 0.149 | $1.49 |