PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

moon11188

0xad5057e6947081649c263a538d58899117e63122

Realised P&L
$9.4k
Volume
$815.3k
Markets traded
1,462
Open portfolio
$793.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,462
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.7931.000$448.73+$92.45
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? · Yes0.3070.999$313.44+$217.05
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 21? · Yes0.2500.160$16.00$9.00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 20? · Yes0.4301.000$5.00+$2.85
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.3600.994$4.97+$3.17
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 21? · Yes0.5400.565$2.83+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20? · Yes0.5700.330$1.65$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? · Yes0.2540.003$0.28$28.48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.4370.001$0.16$137.18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 20? · Yes0.0080.001$0.15$2.31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20? · Yes0.0950.001$0.15$28.35
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 18? · Yes0.0240.001$0.10$4.74
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? · Yes0.2410.001$0.09$44.98
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.6030.001$0.06$72.68
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C or below on July 25? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 06:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?SELL0.2370754717$25.13
09-20 06:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.2595283019$27.51
09-20 03:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.006$0.55
09-20 02:58Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.4146968566$40.00
09-20 02:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.4780845847$62.40
09-20 02:17Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.1$4.10
09-19 06:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.27$22.81
09-19 06:36Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20?BUY0.26$5.23
09-19 06:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20?BUY0.4072923913$74.94
09-19 06:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.9954285714$348.40
09-19 05:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19?SELL0.5750314882$17.35
09-19 05:49Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?SELL0.2046242775$3.54
09-19 05:27Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19?SELL0.83$51.14
09-19 04:47Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.0965418163$3.76
09-19 04:45Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.085308642$6.91