moon11188
0xad5057e6947081649c263a538d58899117e63122
- Realised P&L
- $9.4k
- Volume
- $815.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,462
- Open portfolio
- $793.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,462
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$467.35at 0.840Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?
- +$344.30at 0.996Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 14?
- +$343.50at 0.234Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 26?
- +$336.15at 0.451Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 14?
- +$333.96at 0.035Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.2370754717 | $25.13 |
| 09-20 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.2595283019 | $27.51 |
| 09-20 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.55 |
| 09-20 02:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4146968566 | $40.00 |
| 09-20 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4780845847 | $62.40 |
| 09-20 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.10 |
| 09-19 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.27 | $22.81 |
| 09-19 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.23 |
| 09-19 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.4072923913 | $74.94 |
| 09-19 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.9954285714 | $348.40 |
| 09-19 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.5750314882 | $17.35 |
| 09-19 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.2046242775 | $3.54 |
| 09-19 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.83 | $51.14 |
| 09-19 04:47 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0965418163 | $3.76 |
| 09-19 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.085308642 | $6.91 |