uy998
0xad495c4e30135140f06b59457e2afbde2772c688
- Realised P&L
- $112.15
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $8.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in October? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $8.67 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.00at 0.955Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
- +$2.03at 0.981Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.24at 0.934Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
- +$1.04at 0.976Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?
- +$0.87at 0.979Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 11:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in October? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.67 |
| 12-07 15:40 | Will Solana reach $310 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9959999689 | $21.00 |
| 11-04 19:30 | Will Solana reach $500 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9759999978 | $42.40 |
| 11-04 19:30 | Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7? | BUY | 0.9339999971 | $17.60 |
| 09-21 17:10 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.30 |
| 07-12 17:08 | Will the price of Solana be less than $140 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9665167164 | $20.00 |
| 07-12 17:08 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9787797742 | $40.00 |
| 07-12 17:07 | Will Solana reach $250 in July? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 16:22 | Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | BUY | 0.955 | $9.9k |
| 06-21 10:10 | Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.991 | $98.40 |
| 06-17 07:26 | Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | BUY | 0.986 | $99.62 |
| 05-25 13:52 | Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.994 | $99.49 |
| 05-21 11:49 | Will federal spending decrease by $500-750b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.62 |
| 05-11 15:17 | Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $99.72 |
| 04-22 08:24 | Will Silviu Predoiu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff? | BUY | 0.994 | $98.67 |