Euphy
0xad4741dd0825eb77a0cff95baed4f313e2dc1d5a
- Realised P&L
- $694.46
- Volume
- $88.8k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $112.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? · Avengers: Doomsday | 0.789 | 0.973 | $43.43 | +$8.20 |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.720 | $25.92 | +$5.40 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.525 | $20.42 | +$13.81 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes | 0.627 | 0.620 | $17.67 | −$0.21 |
| Will Doctor Doom die in Avengers: Doomsday? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.245 | $5.14 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$157.75at 0.025Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$59.95at 0.006Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$56.31at 0.061Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
- +$52.37at 0.006Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
- +$48.91at 0.007Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 01:05 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.57 | $20.52 |
| 08-02 21:43 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.57 |
| 08-02 21:40 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $6.61 |
| 07-16 02:29 | Will Doctor Doom die in Avengers: Doomsday? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.25 |
| 07-13 23:22 | US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1610107755 | $10.61 |
| 06-16 22:40 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.235 | $44.44 |
| 06-14 16:07 | Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.2051151711 | $38.79 |
| 05-23 15:48 | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m? | SELL | 0.093 | $0.07 |
| 05-23 15:47 | Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m? | SELL | 0.093 | $5.12 |
| 05-15 23:07 | Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.15 |
| 05-10 13:53 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.63 |
| 05-10 13:52 | Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.40 |
| 05-10 13:51 | Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? | SELL | 0.2131147541 | $13.00 |
| 05-10 04:44 | Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.08 |
| 04-25 13:09 | Project Helix release by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $23.74 |