0xAD42FC3C80F9e44DA0e56639EC3b997cE8efE38f-1773910186325
0xad42fc3c80f9e44da0e56639ec3b997ce8efe38f
- Realised P&L
- $705.56
- Volume
- $92.5k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $532.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.211Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$900.99at 0.290Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$483.28at 0.517Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$335.71at 0.320Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$313.00at 0.374Spurs vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 23:52 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-30 23:50 | Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.16 | $14.10 |
| 10-30 23:49 | Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.23 | $46.00 |
| 10-27 16:07 | Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.006 | $38.67 |
| 10-27 16:04 | Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.077 | $150.15 |
| 10-27 15:45 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.27 | $43.20 |
| 10-26 13:01 | Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.90 |
| 10-26 00:50 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.16 |
| 10-26 00:49 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.31 | $14.23 |
| 10-25 16:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 10-25 15:59 | Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? | BUY | 0.052 | $8.18 |
| 10-25 15:21 | Will the Orlando Magic make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 10-25 03:14 | Warriors vs. Suns | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 10-25 00:10 | Rockets vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 10-25 00:09 | Warriors vs. Suns | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |