PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAD42FC3C80F9e44DA0e56639EC3b997cE8efE38f-1773910186325

0xad42fc3c80f9e44da0e56639ec3b997ce8efe38f

Realised P&L
$705.56
Volume
$92.5k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$532.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.3030.280$123.77−$10.42
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.5790.715$82.22+$15.68
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.2770.245$73.50−$9.50
Will the Orlando Magic make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.5000.525$52.50+$2.50
Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.3400.440$44.00+$10.00
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0080.004$34.20−$28.37
Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.2980.175$32.92−$23.18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3000.285$28.50−$1.50
Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes0.0520.129$25.70+$15.30
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0210.075$12.70+$9.14
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.1620.033$11.70−$46.80
Will the Boston Celtics make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No0.1780.085$10.04−$11.04
Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0200.005$0.56−$1.47
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.4250.000$0.00−$80.00
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 23:52Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3$30.00
10-30 23:50Will the Utah Jazz make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.16$14.10
10-30 23:49Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.23$46.00
10-27 16:07Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.006$38.67
10-27 16:04Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.077$150.15
10-27 15:45Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.27$43.20
10-26 13:01Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.005$3.90
10-26 00:50Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.32$5.16
10-26 00:49Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.31$14.23
10-25 16:02Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$23.00
10-25 15:59Will the Houston Rockets be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion?BUY0.052$8.18
10-25 15:21Will the Orlando Magic make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?BUY0.5$50.00
10-25 03:14Warriors vs. SunsSELL0.22$22.00
10-25 00:10Rockets vs. HawksBUY0.5$40.00
10-25 00:09Warriors vs. SunsBUY0.23$23.00