PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rawie87

0xad3f02a587abe1d18b11dbd201b1db2107c60228

Realised P&L
$-791.73
Volume
$900.6k
Markets traded
124
Open portfolio
$450.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded124
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0130.009$133.97−$51.02
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1300.135$103.85+$3.85
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0090.011$63.25+$13.25
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0500.045$45.00−$5.00
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0800.065$40.63−$9.38
Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0070.004$33.77−$20.12
Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0040.009$21.60+$11.60
Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0020.002$7.50−$2.50
Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0020.001$1.25−$3.75
Spread: France (-4.5) · France0.0880.000$0.00−$20.00
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) · Switzerland0.0050.000$0.00−$10.00
Spread: Jordan (-1.5) · Jordan0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
Spread: Netherlands (-3.5) · Netherlands0.0120.000$0.00−$10.00
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti O/U 2.5 · Over0.0210.000$0.00−$3.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 22:32Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.7505359498$742.19
10-25 22:25Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.8503$340.12
10-05 18:46Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.18$250.00
09-09 21:37Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.01$30.00
09-09 21:32Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.01$49.55
09-09 21:14Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.00505059$39.45
09-09 16:59Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.008$5.00
09-08 20:38Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5)BUY0.0164271047$10.00
09-08 20:37Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.5799999991$200.00
09-08 20:35Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.008$10.00
09-08 20:35Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.008$20.00
09-08 20:34Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.0072562358$40.00
09-08 20:31Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.0041666667$10.00
09-08 20:31Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$5.00
09-08 20:31Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$10.00