0x6CE63cde5213F55af3994C8405004D9D9EA826c0-1764593166029
0xad3a1f3f855ac488de435e08f04001b6ffa9125c
- Realised P&L
- $178.84
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $269.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.170 | $133.46 | +$33.47 |
| Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? · No | 0.347 | 0.445 | $128.20 | +$28.20 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.065 | $7.92 | −$2.08 |
| Will GAIS win on 2026-09-14? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$269.27at 0.419Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$13.82at 0.933Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:48 | Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? | BUY | 0.3471030032 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 06:47 | Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + V? | BUY | 0.0814841524 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 06:42 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.127 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 10:58 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.997 | $214.35 |
| 09-15 08:22 | Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.93 | $199.95 |
| 09-15 08:21 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.970765888 | $374.85 |
| 09-14 10:24 | Will GAIS win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 10:22 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9712662705 | $99.69 |
| 08-27 10:09 | Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4091745632 | $200.00 |