-reef
0xad31a34b93256c1dc2591371b2c865369aefc93a
- Realised P&L
- $16.6k
- Volume
- $1.73M
- Markets traded
- 817
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded817
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.022Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5
- +$1.9kat 0.286Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-09-18?
- +$1.6kat 0.444Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-13?
- +$1.5kat 0.634NK Celje vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava: 1st Half O/U 1.5
- +$1.2kat 0.642Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 20:37 | Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $500.00 |
| 09-29 20:36 | Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.88 | $189.25 |
| 09-29 20:35 | Czechia vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $208.58 |
| 09-29 20:35 | Czechia vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.94 | $500.00 |
| 09-29 20:10 | San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $13.00 |
| 09-29 20:09 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.32 | $40.52 |
| 09-29 20:07 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-29 20:07 | Bulgaria vs. Estonia: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2433333333 | $3.65 |
| 09-29 19:27 | Slovenia vs. North Macedonia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.19 | $87.59 |
| 09-29 19:16 | San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7181944834 | $588.71 |
| 09-29 19:15 | San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.39 | $500.00 |
| 09-29 19:15 | San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.27 | $1.16 |
| 09-29 19:15 | San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.03 | $1.69 |
| 09-29 19:13 | San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $138.10 |
| 09-27 17:24 | Denmark vs. Wales: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.0439926647 | $6.96 |