PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

-reef

0xad31a34b93256c1dc2591371b2c865369aefc93a

Realised P&L
$16.6k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
817
Open portfolio
$4.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded817
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 · Under0.9151.000$1.7k+$141.12
San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.7231.000$1.4k+$389.09
Czechia vs. England: O/U 2.5 · Under0.9311.000$769.81+$52.98
Slovenia vs. North Macedonia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.8901.000$460.68+$50.47
San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under0.3690.001$0.58−$429.81
Slovenia vs. North Macedonia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.1900.001$0.23−$87.36
AC Milan vs. Venezia FC: O/U 1.5 · Under0.0100.000$0.00−$12.50
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 0.5 · Under0.0010.000$0.00−$0.50
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under0.0650.000$0.00−$99.97
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 · Under0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-17? · No0.0280.000$0.00−$14.89
FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5 · Under0.1890.000$0.00−$570.67
Hamburger SV vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5 · Under0.0550.000$0.00−$25.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 20:37Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5BUY0.96$500.00
09-29 20:36Scotland vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5BUY0.88$189.25
09-29 20:35Czechia vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.91$208.58
09-29 20:35Czechia vs. England: O/U 2.5BUY0.94$500.00
09-29 20:10San Marino vs. Albania: O/U 3.5BUY0.52$13.00
09-29 20:09Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.32$40.52
09-29 20:07Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.26$5.20
09-29 20:07Bulgaria vs. Estonia: O/U 0.5BUY0.2433333333$3.65
09-29 19:27Slovenia vs. North Macedonia: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.19$87.59
09-29 19:16San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.7181944834$588.71
09-29 19:15San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.39$500.00
09-29 19:15San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.27$1.16
09-29 19:15San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.03$1.69
09-29 19:13San Marino vs. Albania: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.58$138.10
09-27 17:24Denmark vs. Wales: O/U 1.5BUY0.0439926647$6.96