PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sgrrdg

0xad2d2e30b15d3cd8fe57251003cac8f75d2112dc

Realised P&L
$-237.12
Volume
$40.9k
Markets traded
172
Open portfolio
$17.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded172
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6400.935$10.23+$3.23
China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena Frech · Petra Marcinko0.5000.495$4.92−$0.05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.966$2.46+$0.27
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2900.048$0.34−$1.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 07:21China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena FrechSELL0.49$2.06
09-29 07:13China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena FrechSELL0.49$7.77
09-29 07:04China Open: Petra Marcinko vs Magdalena FrechBUY0.5$15.00
08-12 23:34Will Club Cerro Porteño win on 2026-08-12?BUY0.22$8.80
08-12 22:16Cincinnati Open: Cameron Norrie vs Dino PrizmicBUY0.4199998518$1.36
08-12 21:41Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5SELL0.08$2.73
08-12 21:40Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5SELL0.45$4.59
08-12 19:34Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5BUY0.4399999847$15.00
08-12 17:43Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5BUY0.4599999549$4.69
08-12 13:06Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group BBUY0.2599999903$15.00
08-12 01:16Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles SparksBUY0.48$12.45
08-11 23:18New York Liberty vs. Indiana FeverBUY0.4299998567$1.44
08-11 22:57Set 1 Winner: Bencic vs GauffBUY0.5$4.80
08-11 22:46National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco GauffBUY0.5$1.86
08-11 22:45National Bank Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco GauffBUY0.5$2.35