ks2op
0xad2b8dc9513d5e7ec8a0c9d3742a5725b77908c7
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.305 | $1.3k | +$33.32 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.055 | $1.1k | −$172.93 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.192 | 0.195 | $405.39 | +$5.40 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.110 | $183.33 | −$16.66 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.026 | $150.24 | +$13.78 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.065 | $121.88 | −$28.13 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.015 | $75.73 | −$1.04 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.021 | $64.13 | −$39.21 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.036 | $38.31 | −$27.37 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:03 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.12 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 19:44 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.0081733025 | $0.53 |
| 11-01 19:44 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0213714936 | $1.41 |
| 11-01 19:43 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0466008171 | $3.88 |
| 11-01 19:42 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0305267782 | $1.81 |
| 11-01 19:41 | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0130966133 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:38 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $250.00 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.0379416497 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 19:32 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 19:27 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $40.00 |
| 10-31 22:59 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 22:55 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 22:47 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0223672469 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 22:46 | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0199050529 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 22:45 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.0205230485 | $40.00 |