askadguiadsagyda
0xad25846e05eb0bfa4fcdec2e8bc05cd602e9a8a4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $37.3k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $90.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.165 | $90.75 | −$56.87 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$233.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$353.25at 0.735US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$87.09at 0.816US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$19.12at 0.150Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- +$17.85at 0.929US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
- +$15.25at 0.574US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 19:31 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.86 |
| 04-13 02:41 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.75 |
| 04-11 14:01 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0957501062 | $22.53 |
| 04-11 14:01 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | SELL | 0.09 | $22.50 |
| 04-10 13:32 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.24 | $18.48 |
| 04-10 13:06 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 04-10 12:23 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.15 | $67.50 |
| 04-10 12:23 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $14.00 |
| 04-10 12:23 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.14 | $20.16 |
| 04-10 12:01 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.07 |
| 04-10 12:01 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1196 | $1.79 |
| 04-10 12:01 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.73 |
| 04-10 12:01 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.11 | $16.50 |
| 04-10 12:00 | No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $6.00 |
| 04-08 18:34 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |