wizzchan
0xad23e7199d5c07d5d0855cc1aead4132b60fb0e2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $74.1k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes | 0.211 | 0.049 | $6.51 | −$21.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.56at 0.310Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$56.65at 0.319Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$3.71at 0.247Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
- +$-0.00at 0.320US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$-3.36at 0.014Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 10:00 | Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | BUY | 0.2108027649 | $28.02 |
| 04-13 09:45 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $28.02 |
| 04-10 06:31 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.0179999971 | $6.06 |
| 04-10 06:27 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0208161389 | $5.71 |
| 04-09 09:42 | Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | BUY | 0.0189984349 | $42.00 |
| 04-08 01:17 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0167843558 | $56.79 |
| 04-07 11:57 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $280.04 |
| 04-06 23:30 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0346621637 | $280.04 |
| 04-04 17:03 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0496620995 | $390.80 |
| 04-04 16:40 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.044 | $9.24 |
| 04-04 16:37 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4525251131 | $400.03 |
| 04-03 02:04 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.446179737 | $490.18 |
| 04-03 02:01 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0488422834 | $490.12 |
| 04-02 06:10 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0580716001 | $4.60 |
| 04-01 16:58 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0790455815 | $300.08 |