PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wizzchan

0xad23e7199d5c07d5d0855cc1aead4132b60fb0e2

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$74.1k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$6.51

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration77.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? · Yes0.2110.049$6.51−$21.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-13 10:00Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?BUY0.2108027649$28.02
04-13 09:45Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?SELL0.011$28.02
04-10 06:31Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.0179999971$6.06
04-10 06:27Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0208161389$5.71
04-09 09:42Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?BUY0.0189984349$42.00
04-08 01:17Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0167843558$56.79
04-07 11:57Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4$280.04
04-06 23:30Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0346621637$280.04
04-04 17:03Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0496620995$390.80
04-04 16:40Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.044$9.24
04-04 16:37Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?SELL0.4525251131$400.03
04-03 02:04Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?BUY0.446179737$490.18
04-03 02:01Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0488422834$490.12
04-02 06:10Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0580716001$4.60
04-01 16:58Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0790455815$300.08