0xad2022c34aE5c4Ea0C92213Fa7fC71CA23FA0ede-1778671038959
0xad2022c34ae5c4ea0c92213fa7fc71ca23fa0ede
- Realised P&L
- $1.55
- Volume
- $282.42
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $6.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes | 0.305 | 0.249 | $4.99 | −$1.11 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.009 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.008 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta · Mariano Navone | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.40at 0.500Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta BC?
- +$2.50at 0.500Exact Score: Bologna FC 1909 1 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano?
- +$2.50at 0.500Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5
- +$2.50at 0.500China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur
- +$2.50at 0.500Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 11:28 | China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 05-22 21:19 | Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 05-22 09:00 | Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2 | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 05-21 11:38 | Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.46 | $2.30 |