PolyBot

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Traders

ask15

0xad1f04cd8de7d7b3130a166d191169083b916c61

Realised P&L
$-24.6k
Volume
$660.5k
Markets traded
619
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded619
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5430.120$3.8k$13.1k
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 14? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 26? · Yes0.2970.000$0.00$293.76
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 2? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$15.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on April 7? · Yes0.4590.000$0.00$142.96
Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 on July 14? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$20.00
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 22-28? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$225.93
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on March 17? · Yes0.3570.000$0.00$19.75
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on February 13? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$3.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on March 15? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$964.38
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on June 17? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$6.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 26? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$7.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 14? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$40.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 on July 7? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$343.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 17:34Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16?BUY0.1790163934$38.22
09-16 17:34Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 16?BUY0.3432494279$150.00
09-16 17:34Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on September 16?BUY0.1703822619$50.00
09-16 17:32Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 16?BUY0.0868809731$50.00
09-16 17:32Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 16?BUY0.1908396947$100.00
08-22 12:36Will Ethereum dip to $2,350 on August 22?BUY0.2209999324$2.00
08-22 12:36Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on August 22?BUY0.129999975$4.00
08-22 12:35Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on August 22?BUY0.0659999941$10.00
08-19 21:35Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.232$967.63
08-02 09:56Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 2?BUY0.041$0.21
08-02 09:54Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on August 2?BUY0.0598997518$100.00
08-02 09:54Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 2?BUY0.55$100.00
08-02 09:54Will Ethereum reach $1,950 on August 2?BUY0.0588695086$103.02
08-02 09:53Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on August 2?BUY0.55$1.1k
08-02 09:47Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.0202282153$45.00