PolyBot

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Traders

betsmallwinbig

0xad1626923525651eb3d59e86e9850e7249bb6de3

Realised P&L
$13.5k
Volume
$426.0k
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$84.32

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0020.103$76.54+$75.07
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.0110.009$6.65$2.14
Will the Save Romania Union (USR) be included in the next Romanian government? · No0.5870.332$0.64$0.49
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + AUR? · Yes0.0190.035$0.17+$0.08
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR? · Yes0.0020.002$0.17$0.06
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR? · Yes0.0100.066$0.13+$0.11
Will Vinicius Junior join Bayern Munich? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.95
Will Bohemian FC win on 2026-07-30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$3.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Zirə FK win on 2026-07-23? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$2.01
Will HB win on 2026-07-23? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.00
Will KÍ win on 2026-08-06? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.05
Will SK Dila Gori win on 2026-07-23? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$4.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.59
Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-30? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 15:26Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.06$3.88
09-12 15:00Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.05$2.50
09-12 14:55Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?SELL0.022$20.90
09-12 14:54Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?SELL0.02539988$1.27
09-09 20:36Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-09?SELL0.02$0.48
09-08 19:32Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08?SELL0.032$1.60
09-08 17:31Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?SELL0.03$0.32
09-04 20:57Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?SELL0.03$3.60
09-02 10:34Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0825244891$5.09
09-02 10:27Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.102$15.82
09-02 08:06Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1447694057$44.57
08-30 10:43Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?SELL0.095$2.38
08-28 21:11Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.008$0.55
08-28 13:23Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR?SELL0.002$3.20
08-15 13:36Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group DSELL0.1$22.52