betsmallwinbig
0xad1626923525651eb3d59e86e9850e7249bb6de3
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $426.0k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $84.32
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.3kat 0.285Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.7kat 0.004Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$451.25at 0.003England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$186.91at 0.010Will FK BATE Barysaŭ win on 2026-07-23?
- +$147.15at 0.007Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 15:26 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-12? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.88 |
| 09-12 15:00 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-12? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 09-12 14:55 | Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? | SELL | 0.022 | $20.90 |
| 09-12 14:54 | Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? | SELL | 0.02539988 | $1.27 |
| 09-09 20:36 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-09? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.48 |
| 09-08 19:32 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.60 |
| 09-08 17:31 | Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.32 |
| 09-04 20:57 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.60 |
| 09-02 10:34 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.0825244891 | $5.09 |
| 09-02 10:27 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.102 | $15.82 |
| 09-02 08:06 | Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.1447694057 | $44.57 |
| 08-30 10:43 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR? | SELL | 0.095 | $2.38 |
| 08-28 21:11 | Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.55 |
| 08-28 13:23 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR? | SELL | 0.002 | $3.20 |
| 08-15 13:36 | Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D | SELL | 0.1 | $22.52 |