0xad144f6a0c6308ee9141515507a9565a654e5c1b
0xad144f6a0c6308ee9141515507a9565a654e5c1b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.55
- Volume
- $276.04
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? · No | 0.170 | 0.205 | $1.57 | +$0.27 |
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.89 |
| Exact Score: Cyprus 0 - 2 Latvia? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.21at 0.053Greece vs. Germany: O/U 0.5
- +$-0.00at 0.053Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Norway?
- +$-0.46at 0.053Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 09:13 | Exact Score: Cyprus 0 - 2 Latvia? | BUY | 0.021 | $1.30 |
| 10-05 09:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.30 |
| 10-04 19:27 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 10-04 17:56 | Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.68 |
| 10-04 17:55 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 10-04 17:55 | Greece vs. Germany: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.05 | $1.30 |
| 10-04 17:55 | Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Norway? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.30 |