0xad09203AA098A04aA1349d3a956D66478d317A3b-1771926384580
0xad09203aa098a04aa1349d3a956d66478d317a3b
- Realised P&L
- $48.81
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $24.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.115 | $19.17 | +$4.17 |
| Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes | 0.091 | 0.011 | $0.57 | −$4.43 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.98 |
| Magic vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.419 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans · Clippers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics · 76ers | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Lakers vs. Nuggets · Lakers | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers · Timberwolves | 0.469 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans · Mavericks | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Thunder (-15.5) · Lakers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets · Rockets | 0.319 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.50at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.63at 0.320Hornets vs. Celtics
- +$7.50at 0.400Jazz vs. Wizards
- +$7.22at 0.409Knicks vs. Lakers
- +$6.63at 0.430Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 14:42 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 12:07 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0899999949 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 14:39 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.1519999781 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 06:46 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.0913315392 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 12:42 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0529999903 | $5.00 |
| 05-19 16:25 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.377 | $25.18 |
| 05-04 12:58 | Spread: Thunder (-15.5) | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 14:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 03-18 19:11 | Clippers vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 19:11 | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 03-16 17:26 | Mavericks vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 03-11 16:05 | Rockets vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.3190001057 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 16:05 | Timberwolves vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.4690006457 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 16:26 | Celtics vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 09:48 | Magic vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.4190008721 | $5.00 |