PolyBot

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Traders

0xad09203AA098A04aA1349d3a956D66478d317A3b-1771926384580

0xad09203aa098a04aa1349d3a956d66478d317a3b

Realised P&L
$48.81
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$24.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0900.115$19.17+$4.17
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.002$5.00$5.00
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes0.0910.011$0.57$4.43
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$16.98
Magic vs. Bucks · Bucks0.4190.000$0.00$5.00
Clippers vs. Pelicans · Clippers0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
76ers vs. Celtics · 76ers0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00$5.00
Lakers vs. Nuggets · Lakers0.3800.000$0.00$5.00
Timberwolves vs. Clippers · Timberwolves0.4690.000$0.00$5.00
Mavericks vs. Pelicans · Mavericks0.2500.000$0.00$10.00
Spread: Thunder (-15.5) · Lakers0.4900.000$0.00$5.00
Rockets vs. Nuggets · Rockets0.3190.000$0.00$5.00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 14:42Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.003$10.00
07-26 12:07Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.0899999949$15.00
07-19 14:39Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.1519999781$5.00
07-15 06:46Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?BUY0.0913315392$5.00
06-10 12:42Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0529999903$5.00
05-19 16:25Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.377$25.18
05-04 12:58Spread: Thunder (-15.5)BUY0.4899999804$5.00
04-23 14:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$10.00
03-18 19:11Clippers vs. PelicansBUY0.4799999808$5.00
03-18 19:11Lakers vs. RocketsBUY0.4699999887$5.00
03-16 17:26Mavericks vs. PelicansBUY0.25$10.00
03-11 16:05Rockets vs. NuggetsBUY0.3190001057$5.00
03-11 16:05Timberwolves vs. ClippersBUY0.4690006457$5.00
03-08 16:26Celtics vs. CavaliersBUY0.4799999808$5.00
03-08 09:48Magic vs. BucksBUY0.4190008721$5.00