Ifer12
0xad07c9c11636d9fff5f33905df639248ec0c5f64
- Realised P&L
- $-440.82
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $0.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.25% and 2.99%? · Yes | 0.462 | 0.003 | $0.14 | −$24.86 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up | 0.384 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026? · No | 0.287 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET · Up | 0.532 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Down | 0.359 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.12at 0.410Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?
- +$63.52at 0.300Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$60.35at 0.606Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
- +$7.45at 0.568Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$4.96at 0.668Solana Up or Down - February 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 13:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 03-28 21:23 | US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | BUY | 0.5201509416 | $100.00 |
| 03-16 22:53 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | SELL | 0.964 | $92.22 |
| 03-16 21:54 | Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.2873563218 | $100.00 |
| 03-16 20:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $3.67 |
| 03-15 20:38 | Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1258805946 | $70.79 |
| 03-15 19:18 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $195.12 |
| 03-15 18:54 | Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1778186948 | $100.00 |
| 03-10 23:01 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 03-10 22:55 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.3 | $74.07 |
| 03-09 20:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3790049648 | $9.72 |
| 03-09 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.990999999 | $17.45 |
| 03-09 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5591642908 | $9.70 |
| 03-09 13:01 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.34 | $41.46 |
| 03-08 20:07 | Will Trump visit China by March 31? | BUY | 0.2999999948 | $28.70 |