RobertRodriguez8355
0xad0481b961f7d0955e1a7163b5ae74e8bbc2dce5
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $128.5k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $49.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Afghanistan | 0.101 | 0.055 | $49.83 | −$41.68 |
| Will David Hann be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.120Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-31?
- +$1.1kat 0.160Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?
- +$345.99at 0.120Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?
- +$291.15at 0.550Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during oil executive meetings on Friday?
- +$290.62at 0.160Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 10:08 | Will Trump say "Arc de Trump" or "Arch de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in April? | SELL | 0.93 | $351.54 |
| 04-23 14:30 | Will Trump say "Arc de Trump" or "Arch de Trump" or "Trump Arch" in April? | BUY | 0.8591747573 | $353.98 |
| 04-12 09:02 | Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | SELL | 0.986 | $340.17 |
| 04-07 15:36 | Will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.2k |
| 03-31 08:18 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? | SELL | 0.99 | $30.69 |
| 03-31 04:08 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.70 |
| 03-30 16:03 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.46 | $358.80 |
| 03-29 17:13 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.46 | $361.56 |
| 03-26 03:15 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? | SELL | 0.955 | $84.04 |
| 03-25 16:01 | Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $287.28 |
| 03-23 20:40 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? | BUY | 0.826 | $797.92 |
| 03-23 16:43 | Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $170.24 |
| 03-23 15:35 | Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 23? | BUY | 0.68 | $762.96 |
| 03-21 18:45 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $548.72 |
| 03-21 18:44 | Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $22.80 |