PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

158108

0xacfe2bfd96d67e1cf3bbbaae386c0296198ad62c

Realised P&L
$-146.71
Volume
$183.8k
Markets traded
1,011
Open portfolio
$37.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,011
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9140.846$29.61$2.38
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.9660.908$4.54$0.29
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes0.9600.621$3.10$1.70
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.3560.101$0.50$1.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 02:42Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $62.50 Week of August 3 2026?SELL0.03$0.60
08-03 01:39Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of August 3 2026?SELL0.02$0.40
08-03 01:30Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $610 Week of August 3 2026?SELL0.86$17.20
08-03 01:26Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of August 3 2026?SELL0.1$2.00
07-28 14:29Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,300 on July 31?BUY0.999$5.00
07-28 14:29Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,400 and $1,500 on July 30?BUY0.999$5.00
07-28 14:29Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 29?BUY0.999$5.00
07-28 14:27Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?BUY0.999$5.00
07-28 14:27Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 31?BUY0.998$4.99
07-28 14:27Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 30?BUY0.999$5.00
07-28 14:26Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 29?BUY0.999$5.00
07-28 14:26Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?BUY0.998$4.99
07-28 14:26Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on July 31?BUY0.999$5.00
07-28 14:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on July 30?BUY0.999$5.00
07-28 14:25Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 29?BUY0.999$5.00