6015c508
0xacf9f185b9d99a1dac682912e60c023987c3a129
- Realised P&L
- $-86.92
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $35.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.69at 0.430Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?
- +$139.77at 0.300Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 14?
- +$99.00at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?
- +$73.77at 0.261Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 9?
- +$64.77at 0.350Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-23 22:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 22:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 17:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.84 |
| 08-17 16:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 08-17 14:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.98 | $146.98 |
| 08-17 03:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 08-16 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 16? | SELL | 0.0160778039 | $3.22 |
| 08-16 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16? | SELL | 0.015945 | $4.78 |
| 08-16 05:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 15? | SELL | 0.9979384815 | $99.76 |
| 08-16 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $44.07 |
| 08-16 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-16 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14? | SELL | 0.998 | $69.86 |