PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

6015c508

0xacf9f185b9d99a1dac682912e60c023987c3a129

Realised P&L
$-86.92
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$35.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 17:05Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 24?SELL0.999$49.95
09-23 22:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-23 22:43Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
09-23 22:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.08$1.00
09-23 22:40Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.3099999473$1.00
08-17 17:28Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?SELL0.999$149.84
08-17 16:44Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 18?SELL0.16$3.20
08-17 14:19Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 17?SELL0.98$146.98
08-17 03:54Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 17?SELL0.999$149.85
08-16 07:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 16?SELL0.0160778039$3.22
08-16 07:33Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 16?SELL0.015945$4.78
08-16 05:15Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 15?SELL0.9979384815$99.76
08-16 05:15Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 15?SELL0.999$44.07
08-16 05:14Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 15?SELL0.998$99.80
08-16 03:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?SELL0.998$69.86