23423frf
0xacf750b2682a0739b4c108ed3fafcb31c9ab18e3
- Realised P&L
- $-33.67
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $4.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bucks (-7.5) · Wizards | 0.800 | 0.790 | $4.21 | −$0.05 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 17? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.96 |
| Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.75at 0.500Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5
- +$1.30at 0.952Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 3?
- +$0.65at 0.971Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of June 1 2026?
- +$0.64at 0.963Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 11 2026?
- +$0.46at 0.910Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 33.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 08:21 | Spread: Bucks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.8 | $4.26 |
| 10-17 15:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.96 |
| 10-13 09:26 | Will the lowest temperature in Madrid be 22°C or higher on October 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.07 |
| 10-08 07:35 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 57°F or below on October 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.07 |
| 09-26 01:36 | Ball State vs. Kent State: O/U 33.5 | BUY | 0.91 | $4.69 |
| 09-06 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 98°F or higher on September 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.1k |
| 07-06 14:35 | Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on July 6? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.43 |
| 07-02 14:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.9500328228 | $26.05 |
| 06-24 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 25? | BUY | 0.994 | $8.33 |
| 06-18 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on June 19? | BUY | 0.975 | $16.57 |
| 06-11 01:26 | Spread: Morocco (-2.5) | BUY | 0.982 | $6.98 |
| 06-02 11:47 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of June 1 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $21.73 |
| 05-25 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 26? | BUY | 0.965 | $13.22 |
| 05-19 10:57 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of May 18 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $6.48 |