Linawer
0xacf24177f0086aeb1f81e7a8c52b8ea30149f240
- Realised P&L
- $-18.63
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $8.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · No | 0.680 | 0.967 | $5.63 | +$1.67 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.801 | 0.961 | $1.43 | +$0.24 |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $1.35 | +$0.20 |
| James Comey indicted before October? · No | 0.899 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.70at 0.630Will Aston Villa beat Bologna?
- +$1.92at 0.610Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?
- +$1.67at 0.760Will Ole Miss beat South Carolina?
- +$1.06at 0.850Will Trump's hush money conviction be overturned?
- +$0.78at 0.720U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 13:55 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $300.00 |
| 05-25 08:15 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 05-25 08:14 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.40 |
| 05-25 08:14 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $300.00 |
| 04-25 07:30 | Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $130.99 |
| 04-25 07:30 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $50.05 |
| 04-24 14:02 | Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.996 | $131.00 |
| 04-24 14:01 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 04-24 14:01 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.997 | $49.85 |
| 04-24 14:01 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $50.00 |
| 04-07 05:30 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $329.67 |
| 04-07 05:30 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.9772031732 | $256.84 |
| 04-04 13:08 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.993 | $261.00 |
| 04-04 13:07 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $330.00 |
| 02-22 07:18 | Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.9956053057 | $160.25 |