PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Linawer

0xacf24177f0086aeb1f81e7a8c52b8ea30149f240

Realised P&L
$-18.63
Volume
$6.2k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$8.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · No0.6800.967$5.63+$1.67
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat? · Yes0.8010.961$1.43+$0.24
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.8501.000$1.35+$0.20
James Comey indicted before October? · No0.8990.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$2.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 13:55Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.998$300.00
05-25 08:15Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$300.00
05-25 08:14Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.998$299.40
05-25 08:14Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$300.00
04-25 07:30Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.996$130.99
04-25 07:30Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.997$50.05
04-24 14:02Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.996$131.00
04-24 14:01Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$50.00
04-24 14:01Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.997$49.85
04-24 14:01Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$50.00
04-07 05:30Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.991$329.67
04-07 05:30Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.9772031732$256.84
04-04 13:08Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.993$261.00
04-04 13:07Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.992$330.00
02-22 07:18Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.9956053057$160.25